A Monte Carlo simulation method for system reliability analysis

MATSUOKA Takeshi^{1, 2}

1. College of Nuclear Science and Technology, Harbin Engineering University No.145-1, Nantong Street, Nangang District,
    Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, 150001 China
2. Center for Fundamental Education, Utsunomiya University, 350 Mine-machi, Utsunomiya City, 321-8505 Japan
    (mats@cc.utsunomiya-u.ac.jp)

Abstract: Bases of Monte Carlo simulation are briefly described. Details of the application of Excel software to Monte Carlo simulation are shown with an analysis example. Three-component system is taken up and analysis is performed with the consideration of repair actions. Finally, it is shown that loop structure can be solved by Monte Carlo simulation method, which is realized by Excel software. The simulation results are compared with the analytical calculation results and good agreement is confirmed.
Keyword: Monte Carlo simulation; reliability analysis; repair of component; loop structure